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On the City's agenda (General Pension )
I. Opening Matters
CALL TO ORDER/ ROLL CALL/DETERMINATION OF A QUORUM
II. Approval of Agenda and Minutes
Agenda: Regular Meeting of June 13, 2025.
III. REPORTS (ATTORNEY/CONSULTANTS)
IV. NEW BUSINESS/OLD BUSINESS
V. RATIFICATION: PROCESSED DISBURSEMENTS and DEPOSITS and DISBURSEMENTS
VI. TRUSTEES’ REPORTS, DISCUSSION, AND ACTION/ REQUESTS FROM THE PUBLIC/EMPLOYEES PRESENT
VII. Adjournment
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The recording's machine transcription is below. It is unverified: words and names may be misheard, and it cannot establish who acted or how anyone voted.
Agenda (the City's wording)
No time links are shown for this meeting.
An item without a time link may still have been discussed; the link is only added when the automatic match is strong.
I. Opening Matters
1. CALL TO ORDER/ ROLL CALL/DETERMINATION OF A QUORUM
II. Approval of Agenda and Minutes
1. Agenda: Regular Meeting of June 13, 2025.
III. REPORTS (ATTORNEY/CONSULTANTS)
IV. NEW BUSINESS/OLD BUSINESS
V. RATIFICATION: PROCESSED DISBURSEMENTS and DEPOSITS and DISBURSEMENTS
VI. TRUSTEES’ REPORTS, DISCUSSION, AND ACTION/ REQUESTS FROM THE PUBLIC/EMPLOYEES PRESENT
VII. Adjournment
Transcript Partial transcript
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Okay, good. Yeah, ‸ I was going to recheck them again like Monday or Tuesday after these meetings to be sure that everyone, and then I'll send a reminder to whoever hasn't.
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I don't know if you follow this stuff on a day-to-day basis, but you might have heard there's been some activity since 331 in financial markets. There's been tariffs. There's been a lot of volatility. And I'll go through that.
And now positive fiscal year to date as well. So there's been a really strong bounce back. But I'll get into all of that. But even leading in, if you flip to page 3 of ‸ the March 31st report that's in front of you, you can see what, you know, the quarter leaning into the tariff announcements on April 2nd. We had a bit of a pullback for domestic equity in blue.
The Russell 2000, which are small cap stocks, was down about 10%. You know, this is after two straight years of 20-plus percent return for the S&P 500. So we had a tremendous two-year period. Not many times in history where you get two years in a row of 20-plus.
a reason to sell. So after, you know, I guess the first month or so after the election, which was kind of a honeymoon period for the markets, you had the market starting to sell off, even leading in, just due to the uncertainty of what tariffs would bring. Because, you know, economic history tells us that tariffs increase prices and decrease economic growth.
the quarter ending March 31st. I think the positive is that everything else was positive in the quarter. So international stocks were up 5% in orange on the upper right-hand side there. Bonds, yields went down. Bond prices up ‸ about 3% in red, the U.S. aggregate bond index. You'll see later on, while we don't have it in this graph, real estate was positive in the quarter. And then also, if you flip to page 4, this shows you, in the U.S. equity markets, the difference. We talk about value stocks and growth stocks.
just been going gangbusters and leading markets. And we own those, and I'm happy we do. But in this quarter, you can see a bit of a step back, 10% down in red are the growth stocks. But value stocks, the other side of the market, the more stable, the Procter & Gamble, the Walmarts, energy companies are in there, financials, et cetera. With positive in blue, you can see the 1,000 value, large cap value, up 2%. So I think this was a good quarter that was illustrative of why we're diversified. We don't have all of our eggs in one basket, particularly for us as a pension, closed pension, paying out a lot more than is coming in, basically.
So we're diversified. ‸ We have money in stocks, but we de-risked over time to be prudent to make sure that we can pay those benefits every month. And also,
know, I've had, not you all, but other trustees ask, hey, why don't we have more money in growth stocks in the Magnificent Seven? You know, these stocks are doing great. Why do we own value stocks? Well, it's because we know the party doesn't go on forever, and this quarter shows that, right? So we maintain and diversify. We have targets in all of these different asset classes, and that's how we'll get to satisfactory results over the long term, by being disciplined and consistent, not getting, putting too many of our eggs in one basket, and doing that over time will lead to success. So that was kind of the story for the quarter.
The GDP last year was a little less than 3% growth last year. You know, we're looking at before tariffs, most people were expecting somewhere around 2% growth this year. So slowing a bit, as you would expect, given, you know, the Federal Reserve raising interest rates aggressively to fight inflation, but not falling off the cliff. The first quarter that came in was actually a negative GDP year-over-year growth number, but a lot of noise with the tariff announcements and things, you know, people buying things, import-export noise. But, you know, taking out the tariffs, you know, things, the economy will slow a little bit here this year, but not, you know, still grow positively, which is good. And then the other two main, you know, things that we look at, right? So economic growth, you look at employment, and you look at inflation, right? Because that's ‸ really what the Federal Reserve is focused on when they're making decisions on interest rates, which really, you know, the market drives, you
takes excuse from. So growth is slowing but positive. Employment is still strong at just over 4% national unemployment. So it's holding in very strong, a little bit up from its low. But, you
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It's very low historically. So the economy is strong from an employment standpoint. And then we were kind of, you know, to remind you, right, a couple years ago, we were at 9% inflation, CPI, which is why the Federal Reserve started increasing interest rates aggressively. Fast forward, last year we were kind of stubborn at 3%, and they're trying to get to 2%. The last two readings have been closer to that 2%, around 2.5%. So we're making more progress, again, not including the tariff impacts, but progress towards kind of a normalized inflation rate in the economy. So everything seemed good. You
the main companies, Microsoft, Amazon, Walmart, Procter & Gamble, everything looked pretty good there. Now, the monkey wrench is the inflation, and that caused a lot of consternation. So April 2nd,
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a very, like, protectionist type of mindset in the country to get to tariff levels of what was announced on April 2nd. And, you know, one of the great things besides our economic or our political system, which has hypothetical checks and balances, right, you have three main branches of government. We also have free markets that also get to vote. So you have a bond market and a stock market that ‸ gives real-time feedback on policy decisions, and both of those voted aggressively and violently that these were not good tariffs. You had the stock market. So these were announced on Wednesday, April 2nd, after the market closed. Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 5%. Friday, the S&P was down another 5%.
after being down even more in the beginning part of that day. But we had a three-trading-day period of an 11% loss in the S&P 500. There's not many times in history you've had that severe of a downturn in three days. And then, well, you know, those first two days, bond yield went down and the 10-year Treasury price went up is what you would expect, right? You expect you sell your risk assets in stocks and you buy the safety of a Treasury bond.
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you know, you've seen a tremendous recovery in stock prices. So at one point at the low, the S&P 500 was down, was negative 15% on a year-to-date basis. We're now positive 3% or 4%. I think it's down today. When I was driving in, I heard, but a 1%. But we're still positive for the year. So that just shows you at one point we were down 15%. Now we're plus 3%.
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I think long term we're going to be fine. We'll work through this. The pension will be fine. But this ‸ bounce back seems, I mean, there's still a lot of trade deals to get done. It seems a little bit speculative. And a little bit, you know, the market's being a little bit overly optimistic because we're still going to get tariffs. Tariffs are still, even if they're not as bad as what was announced, tariffs in general aren't good. Like, you know, free trade is good for everyone, I think. Now, there's some imbalances that I understand that need to get corrected. You know, it doesn't seem fair. Some of the deals that we have, right?
can't, you know, Japan can sell Toyotas here, carte blanche, but we can't sell an F-150 over in Japan, right? So, there's some things that need to get rectified, no doubt.
to try to get deals done. There's a lot of trade deals to get done in 90 days. So, I still think there's going to be some volatility here. I'm going to take the positive returns.
of that and kind of do a small rebalance and sell some of our growth stocks that have bounced back a lot. But if we can get just a positive return this fiscal year, I'll take it. I think there's still, you know,
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whatever tariffs get announced. And, like I said, you know, it's very volatile right now. One tweet from the president can shift markets 1,000 points up or down just depending upon the tenor of it.
The market goes up. And, you know, conversely, oh, you know, the Chinese is taking ‸ advantage of us. You see the market go down. So it's very volatile right now. You know, I sent an email out ‸ to you all. I don't know ‸ if you saw this. But the week after the tariff announcements. Just kind of reiterating kind of what we talk about all the time. We're a pension fund. We're built structurally to withstand all of ‸ these short-term market fluctuations. We've already done the work to de-risk this pension in line with the demographics, right?
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advantage of them if need be, right? So that was a lot to kind of, you know, go through. Any questions on anything that you all are hearing about or reading about in terms of tariffs, economy, markets, anything before I get into the plan? All right. Give me one minute. I'm going to fire on my computer here because before I drove over from Orlando, I went to the region's website and pulled the updated market value. So I want to give you that number that I have. But if you flip to page 14 and 15, you can see the side by side of December 31st on the left hand side and March 31st. So 13.46 on
So because of our more conservative positioning, you did better ‸ than most pension funds in the quarter in that down market. But to give you the updated number
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And then, you know, we don't have anything coming in and we're paying out more, right? So if I just add what, I don't have the number, but if I add what we paid out last quarter to that
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Now one thing I wanted to point out, if you go to page 15 on the right hand side, they talked about us having growth and value stocks in the portfolio. You can see the Winslow Large Cap Growth Fund, which is ‸ a CIT that's custody outside of the main region's account. So most of our rebalancing when we raise money for benefits happens in the region's account. We have a dedicated kind of,
But the Winslow doesn't get touched unless we make the decision to do that. So you can see we had about $1.9 million at 331 in there. And then if you go down to Brandywine Global, which is our value fund, that was at about 1.5. And the updated numbers that I have are Winslow's at 2.17, and Brandywine's still at about 1.5. So what I would like to suggest and recommend to you all is that we take a small, you know, just normal reduction, kind of sell high,
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of $250,000, have them wire it to regions, and then add to ‸ the Brandywine Large Cap Value ETF that we own. So it would be minus $250,000 from Winslow
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yeah, absolutely, I can do that. Okay. I would do that. Okay. That's if it's approved, so I'd be happy to answer any questions from the board about that recommendation. But if you don't, that would require a motion and you ought to approve it.
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Going back to the book on page 17, just to show you the asset allocation relative to our targets. Yeah, we're pretty close at 331, and when I ran the numbers as of today, we're basically right on top of our targets for everything, other than we're still a little overweight to real estate.
When we updated the IPS a year and a half ago, I recommended, hey, let's go down to 10% given we're now in a decent interest rate environment, but it's taken a while kind of to get our money back to get to that target. So we're a little overweight that. We're working on it to get back. ‸ Once we get back to target, then we
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our fixed income manager, to do that. So you can see ‸ that's all what happened. The big one was, you know, last time we met, we did, I recommended that we, given the, you know, the strength in those growth stocks, we ‸ sold ‸ a bit at that about a year ago.
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If you guys go to the conferences, all that comes out of the other expenses. You see that was 43,718 during the first half of this fiscal year. We had dividends and income of about $235,000 and then a
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You can see the numbers in parentheses where you rank relative to other pension funds, right? In a really strong market, given how we're positioned, closed, you know, we only have, you know, only about 50% of our money in equity.
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open pension, you know, you talk to those, they're having 60, sometimes 70% in equity. So we're not going to do as well in the really good times. But when the market's down, we should do better than most pensions. And that's what you see. We rank 22nd, so we beat, you know, 68% of your national peers of public funds, fiscal year to date, in a negative market. That's what I would expect. So it's good to see that it's kind of doing what we would expect. Long-term results continue to be outstanding here. Over the last decade,
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I think that kind of, those numbers kind of speak for itself, given the stewardship of this board and what we've been able to accomplish from an investment perspective.
We know all active managers go through periods of outperformance and underperformance. They've had some issues the last two years. I don't think there's any change to their process. I don't, there's no changes to the team that has managed that fund relatively successfully. You can see since inception on the right-hand side
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outperform. You know, if it continues on, you know, maybe we'll start getting concerned. But I don't think it's at a point where we need to take action. It's just something that we're monitoring.
So other than that, everything else is kind of trending exactly how we would expect. The Winslow Fund did a good job protecting capital and did ‸ about a point and a half,
And you can see, I talked about the growth stocks doing worse than value stocks. U.S., that happened domestic or internationally as well. So remember a couple
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know, it did better than its index, what was up 2.6. So I like how those funds are kind of interacting with each other. When one does well, the other one kind of, you know, they're just finding exactly what we
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4.3% versus the policy index. So that was good. Adjunct court, you know, we're very conservative there. It's an intermediate mandate. We don't own 30-year bonds, right? Everything we own is between 0 and 10 years. So we're not taking as much interest rate risk as the overall kind of, say, the U.S. aggregate bond index.
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5% returns in our fixed income portfolio. And then the PIMCO Global Bond Fund has been a great add for us, particularly relative to other global bond managers. You can see we added that one back at the end of 2020 on the right-hand side of the page. That's had a positive return. And the average fund in that area was down 3% during that same time period.
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So this is the second positive quarter in a row for commercial real estate after eight negative quarters in a row. So starting to get more normalization there. The way that the return is being generated is basically, so there's two components, right? You have your income component where we're getting about a 4% yield on that portfolio, annualized. And then you have the capital appreciation component. So the capital appreciation component is flat. The things went down and now are kind of stabilizing. And now we're just getting kind of that income component over the last couple quarters.
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If something crazy happens and I think we should have a special meeting, I'll make sure to reach out to you all. I hope that's not the case. But ‸ we always have that option. We don't have to meet every six months. We meet more often. We can call a special meeting. If need be, I'll knock on wood that's not going to be needed. But I'll certainly communicate with you all as things start to, you know, the data starts pouring in and we start to see what the ultimate effects of this stuff will be. And if we need to make any moves ‸ for the long-term health of the pension, we'll make sure to communicate that with
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And since we won't meet again until November, he has agreed to be reappointed. And this is an appointment by the board. So we'd like to have a motion to appoint Greg Torbett to a new term ending September 30th of 2028.
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report to us afterward. And any information that Paul, that you feel needs to get to the board, you know, before our November meeting, just let me know. Okay?
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he said um Chase wants to get to be digital right They don't want to do checks anymore. So they put the pressure on you to go digital. I can't go digital
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Bank they the bank charged a lot for checks But they had private companies that you send down you send them one check and they'll make more for you. they were they were cheap when you first got
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